Budget Prediction 2027-28
Data-driven forecasts for India's next Union Budget, based on economic trends and historical patterns
How we predict
Historical Trends
17 years of budget data (2010-2027) to identify patterns in revenue growth, expenditure allocation, and deficit management
Economic Indicators
GDP growth, inflation, tax buoyancy, disinvestment targets, and global economic conditions
Expert Analysis
Insights from Birendra Kumar with 30+ years in Finance Services, MP in government budget preparation
Predictions for 2027-28 are being prepared
Our expert team is analysing current economic indicators and 17 years of historical budget data to generate forecasts. Predictions will be published closer to the budget session. Subscribe to get notified when predictions are ready.
Subscribe for updates โTotal Receipts
Forecast
Total Expenditure
Forecast
Fiscal Deficit
% of GDP target
Capital Expenditure
Forecast
What Historical Trends Tell Us
Key patterns from 17 years of budget data that inform our predictions
Revenue Growth
Tax revenue has grown at 11-13% CAGR over the last decade, driven by GST maturation and improved compliance
Capital Expenditure Push
Capex share has doubled from ~12% to ~24% of total expenditure since 2019-20, signalling infrastructure focus
Fiscal Consolidation
Deficit has narrowed from 9.2% (COVID peak) to ~4.5%, targeting 3% medium-term as per FRBM
Subsidy Rationalisation
Food, fertiliser, and fuel subsidies as % of GDP have declined, freeing space for capital spending
Defence vs Welfare
Social sector spending (education, health) has grown faster than defence in recent budgets
Disinvestment Targets
Ambitious targets often revised downward; actual receipts have ranged from 30-70% of initial estimates
Revenue Growth Trajectory
Historical trend with projected next-year values
Prediction charts will be published before budget session
Fiscal Deficit Path
Deficit consolidation roadmap and projections
Prediction charts will be published before budget session
Analyse Past Budgets
View 17 years of Union Budget data to form your own predictions
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